There are some key matchups in Week 14 that will go a long way in determining the NFL playoff picture. Four teams that are within a game of a postseason spot are underdogs. Three teams that are currently in the playoffs are getting points, as well.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 14 of the 2018 NFL season, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+4) at Tennessee Titans
It’s become clear each week that picking the home team on Thursday night is the best bet. Only two road teams have won straight up or covered the spread in the first game of the week.
Prediction ATS: Tennessee
Baltimore Ravens (+6.5) at Kansas City Chiefs
It’s an easy decision when the Chiefs are laying less than a touchdown at home against an offense that isn’t among the league’s best. Baltimore’s defense usually keeps them in games, but that won’t be the case on the road against the NFL’s scoring leader.
Prediction ATS: Kansas City
Indianapolis Colts (+5) at Houston Texans
While parts of Houston’s nine-game winning streak haven’t been particularly impressive, the team has been terrific at home. The Texans have won three straight home games by 16 points or more. The Colts were just beaten in Jacksonville and haven’t beaten a team with a winning record on the road.
Prediction ATS: Houston
Atlanta Falcons (+5.5) at Green Bay Packers
In a game between two of the league’s most disappointing teams, the smart decision is to take the points. All of Green Bay’s problems won’t be solved just because they fired their head coach.
Prediction ATS: Atlanta
New York Jets (+3.5) at Buffalo Bills
The Bills have played well against mediocre and bad teams at home. They’ve got wins over the Titans and Jaguars, and they rank second in the NFL in opponents’ yards per play. Buffalo also blew out New York on the road a few weeks ago when Josh Allen was still injured. The Jets are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games in Buffalo.
Prediction ATS: Buffalo
New York Giants (-3.5) at Washington Redskins
Even with Washington losing their top two quarterbacks, it’s hard to lay more than a field goal on the road with New York. All of the Giants’ wins have come down to the wire, and Sunday’s contest should be a close one. The Redskins are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games with the Giants.
Prediction ATS: Washington
New Orleans Saints (-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jameis Winston has played well since replacing Ryan Fitzpatrick for a second time, and the Buccaneers still lead the NFL in total offense. This is a game the Saints should win, but it’ll probably be a shootout that’s relatively close in the fourth quarter. Tampa Bay handed New Orleans their first loss of the season. The Bucs are 6-3 against the spread in their last nine games with the Saints.
Prediction ATS: Tampa Bay
New England Patriots (-8) at Miami Dolphins
The Patriots have struggled on the road this season, somehow losing to the Lions, Jaguars and Titans handily. Maybe they’ll have trouble in Miami, where they were defeated a year ago.
Prediction ATS: Miami
Carolina Panthers (-1.5) at Cleveland Browns
The Panthers are 1-5 against the spread on the road. They’ve lost four straight overall and three in a row away from Carolina. Look for Baker Mayfield to bounce back from a bad performance in Houston and outplay a struggling Cam Newton. The Panthers are 25th in opponents’ passer rating.
Prediction ATS: Cleveland
Denver Broncos (-5.5) at San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers have lost their last two games by a combined 45 points. They are incentivized to lose with the No.1 overall draft pick in their sights. Denver could dominate like they did in Cincinnati last week.
Prediction ATS: Denver
Cincinnati Bengals (+14) at Los Angeles Chargers
The Bengals might be the NFL’s worst teams after losing A.J. Green, Tyler Eifert and Andy Dalton for the season. The Chargers have proven to be real Super Bowl contenders. Los Angeles should blow out Cincinnati like they did to Arizona two weeks ago with a 35-point victory.
Prediction ATS: Los Angeles
Detroit Lions (-2.5) at Arizona Cardinals
You can’t take the Lions as road favorites. Detroit’s only win away from home came against Brock Osweiler. Arizona is clearly still playing hard after winning at Lambeau Field. Their defense, which ranks eighth in yards allowed per play, will play well against a Lions’ offense that’s just 25th in yards per play.
Prediction ATS: Arizona
Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas has proven to be a real playoff contender with four straight wins. Philadelphia really hasn’t proven much by beating the Giants and Redskins at home. The offense still hasn’t come close to looking like it did last year, and it will have trouble moving the ball against an elite defense that just shut down the Saints.
Prediction ATS: Dallas
Pittsburgh Steelers (-10.5) at Oakland Raiders
The Raiders showed a lot of fight last week when they kept their game against the Chiefs within a touchdown. Maybe they can do the same against the Steelers, who will be without James Conner, though you probably don’t want to bet any actual money on a 2-10 Oakland team.
Prediction ATS: Oakland
Los Angeles Rams (-3) at Chicago Bears
Just like the Cowboys shut down the Saints’ explosive offense at home last week, the Bears have a chance to do the same to the Rams on “Sunday Night Football.” Chicago probably has the NFL’s best defense. With Mitchell Trubisky likely back under center, the Bears can have enough success against the team that’s 26th in opponents’ yards per play to pull off the upset.
Prediction ATS: Chicago
Minnesota Vikings (+3) at Seattle Seahawks
With just six wins in 12 games, Minnesota has proven that they aren’t as good as they were projected to be this season. Seattle, on the other hand, has exceeded expectations with a 7-5 record. The Seahawks haven’t lost to a team with a losing record, and their only home losses came against the 11-1 Rams and the 9-3 Chargers. They’ll take care of business against the Vikings and get dangerously close to locking up a playoff spot.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
Season Record: 87-99-6