JEREMY VINE was stunned during his Swingometer presentation when the swing towards the Conservatives in traditional Labour seats was like nothing we had seen since 1997 with Tony Blair.
The BBC’s iconic election night Swingometer has returned with presenter Jeremy Vine. The election Swingometer compares one party in relation to another, showing where the votes are going. Mr Vine was stunned at some swing seats such as Darlington where the swing needed was much less than what the Conservatives actually got.
He said: “They’ve virtually broken our Swingometer here with this swing.
“We haven’t seen anything like this, by the way, since 1997.
“Tony Blair’s landslide against John Major had a swing of 10 percent.
“And before that, we’d have to go back to 1945.”
Polling expert Sir John Curtice delivered a shocking analysis of the exit poll.
The election guru warned viewers to “not be surprised” because there is a “crucial caveat” to remember.
However, he did confirm that the prediction of a strong Tory majority was very likely.
He said: “Do not be surprised if, particularly when we get further south and we get into much more pro-Remain constituencies, that we do not see spectacular advances by the Conservatives.”
Sir John continued: “But in the north of England, in Leave areas, in working class seats, the Labour Party does seem to be in trouble.
“There’s a lot of intelligence kicking around suggesting that a lot of the Labour red wall is going to fall to the Conservatives.
“If that intelligence is right than it looks as though the broad picture of the exit poll may well be right.”
The Conservatives are set to win an overall majority of 86 in the general election, according to an exit poll for the BBC, ITV and Sky News.
The survey taken at UK polling stations suggests the Tories will get 368 MPs – 50 more than at the 2017 election – when all the results have been counted.
Labour would get 191, the Lib Dems 13, the Brexit Party none and the SNP 55.
In one of the first seats to declare, the Conservatives took Blyth Valley in north-east England from Labour.
This is the first time the former mining area will have a Conservative MP – NHS worker Ian Levy.