Election forecast: What a Tory majority government would mean for Britain and Brexit

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BORIS JOHNSON has one week to go until voters must decide whether they’ll grant him the majority he so desires. So what would a Tory majority mean?

As far as the opinion polls are concerned, Boris Johnson is on course for a landslide victory next week. Most show him with a 10-point lead as least – but it’s not over yet.

So what would a Tory majority look like?

This week, Mr Johnson announced his plans for the first 100 days in office should he win the election.

Unsurprisingly, at the top of his agenda is his plan to pass the Brexit withdrawal agreement to ensure a January 31 exit.

The incumbent Prime Minister said that by the end of January his party “will have got Brexit done, and you will find, what will happen is the parliamentary agony will be over, the political agony will be over and the misery and tedium and procrastination that been going on will be over.”

But that’s not all he promised. Here are some other promises for the first three months:

  • Hold an early Budget after delivering Brexit on January 31
  • Raising the National Insurance threshold, which the independent Institute for Fiscal Studies says will save workers about £85 per year
  • Ending the automatic release of serious violent and sexual offenders
  • Increasing the amount migrants pay for using the NHS
  • Finalising an agreement with mobile operators over countryside coverage

The Conservatives have also said they would introduce a number of pieces of legislation in the 100-day timeframe to take the first steps on other promises.

These include:

  • A law to raise minimum per pupil funding in schools
  • A law to ensure £33.9bn is put into the NHS each year by 2023
  • A new points-based immigration system
  • The roll-out of gigabit broadband

Mr Johnson said: “This is the most important election in a generation.

“Important because it will define if we go forward as a country or remain stuck, stalled, repeating the same arguments of the last three years with yet more damaging uncertainty.”

Chancellor Sajid Javid said he did not have a “single doubt” a Conservative government could then agree a trade deal with the EU by the end of 2020.

But the Labour Party said a Tory government only offered “more of the same failure”.

Shadow communities secretary Andrew Gwynne said since the Tories came in to power ten years ago, “we’ve seen child poverty soar, rising homelessness, rising food bank use, and violent crime is up too while the NHS has more people waiting for operations, and record staff vacancies.”

He added: “As the Conservatives approach 3,500 days of failure, it’s clear that more of the same failed austerity, privatisation and tax giveaways for the few is not the answer.”

The Lib Dems called the Conservative plans “pure fantasy”, while the SNP warned there were seven days left to “lock” Mr Johnson out of Downing Street.

SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon said: “We have seven days to escape Brexit, lock Boris Johnson out of office and put Scotland’s future in Scotland’s hands.”

So what would a Tory majority look like?

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